| Centers/Programs | IFPRI |
| Target Regions | Asia, CWANA, LAC, SSA |
| Countries of Planned Research | | Potential Beneficiary Countries |
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Bangladesh, China, Ethiopia, Indonesia, India, Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Senegal |
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Bangladesh, China, Ethiopia, Indonesia, India, Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Senegal |
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| CGIAR Priorities |
3A - Increasing income from fruit and vegetables 3B - Income increases from livestock 3C - Enhancing income through increased productivity of fisheries and aquaculture 5B - Making international and domestic markets work for the poor 5C - Rural institutions and their governance Development Activities - Development Activities Stand-alone Training - Stand-alone Training
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| Financing Sources |
Members: ADB, Australia, European Commission, FAO, Finland, Japan, Switzerland, United States, World Bank Non Members: Agence Francaise de Development (AFD), Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, Center for International Research and Economic Modelling, Coffey International Development, HarvestPlus/CP, Hewlett Foundation, Indian Center for Agricultural Research (ICAR), Institut Nationale de la Recherche Agronomique, Institute for Financial Management and Research (IFMR), Landbouw-Economish Instituut, Michigan State University, Others, Overseas Development Institute (ODI), S.E.VEN Fund Inc., University of Illinois, Unres+Other Sources, Weidemann Associates, World Food Program (WFP) |
Project Overview and Rationale
The inefficiency of international and domestic markets is traditionally viewed as a key policy constraint faced by the developing world. While there is a widespread consensus that trade liberalization generates gains for all trading partners in the aggregate, its impacts on poverty continues to be a subject of considerable debates, among academics and policymakers, because of the potential adverse effects liberalization can have on rural and urban poverty, employment, and income distribution. These outcomes can have different magnitudes under various types of liberalization, such as multilateral, reciprocal and regional agreements, and preferential schemes and various types of distortions, such as coupled or decoupled domestic support instruments, import tariffs, and policies aimed at supporting the development of biofuels production.
Economic growth, which alleviates poverty, can be bolstered by trade liberalization. However, this process is inhibited by market failures and public interventions in most South Asian and Sub-Saharan Africa countries. These market failures and public interventions can dampen agricultural supply responses and consumers’ growing preferences for quality products.
Given the predominant role of agriculture in the livelihoods of most people in developing countries, especially in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, any strategy for reducing poverty and hunger must include rapid growth in the agricultural sector. However, increased agricultural productivity can depress commodity prices and farmers’ incomes if they are not linked to market opportunities, or if high market transaction costs exist. Poorly functioning markets, weak domestic consumer demand, and lack of export possibilities are major constraints to agricultural growth prospects for many developing countries. The development of biofuels sectors may have adverse consequences on poverty in developing countries. It might have an expansionary effect on the demand for agricultural feedstock needed in the production of biofuels, benefiting the poor in rural areas, but could simultaneously exert an increasing pressure on world agricultural prices at the detrimental of urban poor in net food importing countries.
Goals and Objectives
The overall objective of this research project is to support the adoption of policies for more efficient functioning of the global food, nutrition, and agricultural system so as to support the inclusion of low-income countries and improve food and the nutrition security of poor people. The program emphasizes issues of global agricultural trade negotiations, regional trade, and trade preferences; linkages between domestic policies and globalization; distributional impact of trade liberalization; the impact of developed-country policies on developing-country food security, and pro-poor policies along the entire food chain given the growing importance of consumers and retail industries as food system drivers; the development of a biofuel sectors and its potential implications on developing countries. Policy changes supported by this research are expected to accelerate income growth through increased access to both domestic markets and international trade.
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Project Outputs
| Output Title | 1:
Assessment of the contributions of multilateral trade agreements and rules to efficient global food and agricultural markets and benefits for the world’s poor (three years). |
| Output Description |
With regard to outputs 1 and 2 the project will continue to provide the quantitative analysis and analytic capacity building that are necessary for understanding of regional and multilateral trade agreements and the contribution they can make to development and poverty alleviation.
Under output 1, the project will employ a global economic model to analyze the effects on national producer and consumer welfare policy options under the World Trade Organization (WTO) Doha Development Round. In addition, the project will carry out similar analysis of effects of alternative policy options under a WTO agriculture agreement on poverty and the distribution of income within developing countries.
Under this output two new versions of the MIRAGE model of the world economy will be developed. A first one will be a simple version of the model, in order to be more accessible to all researchers. This will be an international public good, freely available to the international community of economic researchers. The second one will add a module that studies the impact of trade liberalization on poverty at the household level.
In addition, a new global database on gender will be developed crossing the GTAP dataset and International Labor Organization resources on employment by Gender. This important development will constitute a corner stone in trade liberalization impact assessment on gender inequalities.
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| CGIAR Priorities | |
| Countries of Planned Research |
Bangladesh, Morocco, Pakistan, Philippines, Senegal |
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| Intended Users |
National and international agricultural policymakers and analysts from developing and developed countries, trade negotiators, producer and consumer interest groups concerned with food security, trade and agricultural development, donor organizations, public educators. |
| Outcome |
Results of quantitative simulation models used by policymakers to understand the effects of alternative multilateral trade agreements on the levels and distribution of producer income and consumer well being, and on poverty within countries. Policy options delineated for the development of efficient global agricultural markets that increase real incomes of the poor. Policies implemented that provide appropriate price incentives and promote international trade. |
| Impact |
Growth in rural income, reduction in poverty and malnutrition in rural areas, and improved indicators of food security, sustainable production, and trade opportunities. Reduction of gender inequalities and inclusive trade-led growth. " |
Output Target
| Year |
Target Type |
Target Description |
2009 |
Practices |
A more visible and user-friendly web-based ASTI platform that includes links to other datasets related to S&T in agriculture and food. |
2009 |
Practices |
An up-to-date and comprehensive database on financial and human capacity trends in public and private agricultural R&D in Sub-Saharan Africa. |
2009 |
Practices |
Expanded database including quantitative information on emerging areas of interest to policymakers, S&T managers, researchers, and other stakeholders, specifically in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. |
2010 |
Policy strategies |
Quantitative information on emerging areas of interest to policymakers, S&T managers, researchers, and other stakeholders, specifically in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. |
2010 |
Practices |
An up-to-date and comprehensive database on financial and human capacity trends in public and private agricultural R&D South Asian agricultural R&D. |
2011 |
Other kinds of knowledge |
Improved network of national, regional, and other stakeholders. |
2011 |
Policy strategies |
An update on the status of agricultural R&D investments worldwide. |
2011 |
Policy strategies |
Quantitative information on emerging areas of interest to policymakers, S&T managers, researchers, and other stakeholders, specifically in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. |
2011 |
Practices |
An up-to-date database on financial and human capacity trends in public agricultural R&D investments in developing countries |
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| Output Title | 2:
Assessment and documentation of the regional effects of multilateral trade policies and rules, and of the contributions of regional trade agreements to efficient food and agricultural markets and benefits for the poor (2 years). |
| Output Description |
With regard to outputs 1 and 2 the project will continue to provide the quantitative analysis and analytic capacity building that are necessary for understanding of regional and multilateral trade agreements and the contribution they can make to development and poverty alleviation.
With regard to output 2, the project will analyze the potential impact of a Duty Free Quota Free Access given to African countries by OECD countries. In addition, the project will also study the potential distributional impact of an Economic Partnership Agreement between the European Union and several African countries.
The comparative advantage of GRP 2 research in these fields is that its researchers have been among the architects of the cutting-edge analytical tools such as the MIRAGE model and the MAcMap database which are continually updated with innovative features placing IFPRI’s research at the forefront of the field. In addition the global gender database developed inside the output 1 framework will appear to be a key resource to analyze the gender dimension of regional trade agreements. Focusing on regional and country cases, the global database will be improved relying on national data and household surveys.
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| CGIAR Priorities | |
| Countries of Planned Research |
Bangladesh, China, Ethiopia, Indonesia, India, Philippines |
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| Intended Users |
National policymakers and analysts from developing countries, donor organizations. |
| Outcome |
Design of adjustment and support programs to facilitate implementation of regional trade. Models providing in-depth knowledge of the income distributional effects of alternative regional and preferential trade policies among diverse developing countries are used to improve policy decisions to the benefit of poor and vulnerable groups agreement |
| Impact |
Growth in rural income, reduction in poverty and malnutrition in rural areas, and improved indicators of food security, sustainable production, and trade opportunities." |
Output Target
| Year |
Target Type |
Target Description |
2009 |
Practices |
Conceptual frameworks, tools and methods required for analyzing and comparing agricultural S&T for innovation systems and processes developed and tested in selected countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. |
2010 |
Policy strategies |
Analysis completed on comparative S&T policy systems in selected countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. |
2011 |
Policy strategies |
Guidelines and recommendations for strengthening agricultural S&T for innovation policy systems and processes specified and communicated in selected countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America. |
2011 |
Policy strategies |
Regional and sub-regional analyses and comparisons of agricultural S&T systems, processes, and influence on agricultural innovation. |
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| Output Title | 3:
Assess and document the impacts of increased production and consumption of biofuels on developing countries and poor people in rural areas (2 years). |
| Output Description |
Under output 3, the project has further expanded the MIRAGE model in order to better analyze the impacts of rising biofuels on developing countries. There were three significant aspects on which the project has built upon. The first one was the integration of particular sectors (biofuels) in the MIRAGE model, together with an improved modelling of the energy sector. The second development extended MIRAGE model in order to better represent land use, as a key element of interdependence between biofuels and energy sectors is the demand for this primary factor. The third development expanded MIRAGE to include detailed projections on food demand, domestic support programs, population growth, price of fossil oils in order to evaluate how alternative economic scenarios impact the world demand for agricultural and food products. New methodological aspects will concern the integration of by-products of biofuels like DDGS and soybean cakes. Further research will focus on improving the database on biodiesel and oilseeds for biodiesel and examining various biofuels policy scenarios in order to assess the consequences on developing countries. Last, the CGE analysis is combined with household survey data to assess the consequences of OECD countries policies on poverty and hunger. |
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| CGIAR Priorities | |
| Countries of Planned Research | |
| Intended Users |
National policymakers and analysts from developing countries an developed countries, donor organizations. |
| Outcome |
Policymakers in developing and developed countries, better able to formulate policies that bring about real benefits to developing countries. |
| Impact |
Growth in rural income, reduction in poverty, sustainable production, and trade opportunities." |
Output Target
| Year |
Target Type |
Target Description |
2009 |
Practices |
Recommendations, tools and methods for effective extension systems developed. |
2010 |
Other kinds of knowledge |
Evidence of impact of various extension and education programs developed. |
2011 |
Practices |
Innovative rural extension and education models developed and tested. |
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Note: Financial Tables, Target Regions, CGIAR Priorities and Financing Sources show aggregated data for more than one MTP project and in particular for: - Subtheme 2.1: Globalization and Markets (GRP 2) - Subtheme 2.2: Participation in High-Value Agricultural Markets (GRP 27) - Subtheme 2.3: Institutions and Infrastructure for Market Development (GRP 23)
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Allocation of Member, Non-Member Grants and other sources to projects, 2009-2011 in $millions
| Project |
Member |
Actual 2009 |
Estimated 2010 |
Proposal 2011 |
Project Total | 4.879 | 5.773 | 5.657 |
| Theme 2: Globalization, Trade and Markets | Member | ADB | 0.380 | 0.385 | 0.000 |
| Australia | 0.210 | 0.136 | 1.138 |
| European Commission | 0.596 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| FAO | 0.000 | 0.025 | 0.000 |
| Finland | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.282 |
| Japan | 0.045 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Switzerland | 0.047 | 0.140 | 0.000 |
| United States | 0.187 | 0.733 | 0.822 |
| World Bank | 0.127 | 0.273 | 0.009 |
| Non Member | Agence Francaise de Development (AFD) | 0.000 | 0.111 | 0.000 |
| Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation | 0.040 | 0.633 | 0.000 |
| Center for International Research and Economic Modelling | 0.018 | 0.079 | 0.000 |
| Coffey International Development | 0.010 | 0.020 | 0.000 |
| HarvestPlus/CP | 0.000 | 0.118 | 0.268 |
| Hewlett Foundation | 0.494 | 0.273 | 0.000 |
| Indian Center for Agricultural Research (ICAR) | 0.012 | 0.128 | 0.000 |
| Institut Nationale de la Recherche Agronomique | 0.120 | 0.060 | 0.371 |
| Institute for Financial Management and Research (IFMR) | 0.000 | 0.080 | 0.104 |
| Landbouw-Economish Instituut | 0.055 | 0.209 | 0.341 |
| Michigan State University | 0.073 | 0.162 | 0.124 |
| Others | 0.036 | 0.219 | 0.224 |
| Overseas Development Institute (ODI) | 0.008 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| S.E.VEN Fund Inc. | 0.045 | 0.011 | 0.000 |
| University of Illinois | 0.018 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Weidemann Associates | 0.063 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| World Food Program (WFP) | 0.006 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Unres+Other Sources | Unres+Other Sources | 2.289 | 1.978 | 1.974 |
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Allocation of Project Costs to CGIAR Priorities, 2009-2013 in $millions
| Project |
Actual 2009 |
Estimated 2010 |
Proposal 2011 |
Plan 1 2012 |
Plan 2 2013 |
| Priorities |
| Theme 2: Globalization, Trade and Markets |
Project Total | 4.879 | 5.773 | 5.657 | 5.883 | 6.119 |
| 3A | 0.917 | 1.085 | 1.064 | 1.106 | 1.150 |
| 3B | 0.917 | 1.085 | 1.063 | 1.106 | 1.150 |
| 3C | 0.459 | 0.543 | 0.532 | 0.553 | 0.575 |
| 5B | 1.769 | 2.094 | 2.050 | 2.133 | 2.219 |
| 5C | 0.622 | 0.735 | 0.721 | 0.750 | 0.780 |
| Development Activities | 0.049 | 0.058 | 0.057 | 0.059 | 0.061 |
| Stand-alone Training | 0.146 | 0.173 | 0.170 | 0.176 | 0.184 |
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Project investment by developing Region, 2009-2013 in $millions
| Project |
Target Regions |
Actual 2009 |
Estimated 2010 |
Proposal 2011 |
Plan 1 2012 |
Plan 2 2013 |
Project Total | 4.879 | 5.773 | 5.657 | 5.883 | 6.119 |
| Theme 2: Globalization, Trade and Markets | Asia | 2.428 | 2.948 | 3.130 | 3.255 | 3.386 |
| CWANA | 0.479 | 0.495 | 0.253 | 0.264 | 0.274 |
| LAC | 0.528 | 0.619 | 0.587 | 0.610 | 0.635 |
| SSA | 1.444 | 1.711 | 1.687 | 1.754 | 1.824 |
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